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⚾ MLB·National LeagueEast

Washington Nationals

71-91 · WAS

Overall Record

71-91

43.8% win rate

ATS Record

40-51

44.0% cover rate

O/U Record

42-49

46.2% OVER

Division

East

National League

Key Insights

📈

ATS Trend

Nationals are struggling against the spread at 44.0% — fading them as a favorite has been profitable.

🎯

Over/Under

Nationals are 50/50 on the total (46.2% OVER). No strong systemic lean either direction.

💡

Sharp Angle

The Washington Nationals (40-51 ATS) offer negative expected value against the spread. Monitor line movement to find optimal entry points.

Relevant Trends

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🏈 NFLATS📉 Slight Edge

Commanders finished 9-8 ATS — Daniels and Co. quietly covered (2025-26 final)

Record

9-8

Win Rate

52.9%

n=17 games2025-26 season (final)
⚾ MLBO/U📊 Moderate Edge

UNDER hit in 58% of games played in Colorado in 2025

Record

37-27

Win Rate

57.8%

n=64 games2025 season (final)
⚾ MLBO/U📊 Moderate Edge

First-half UNDER hit 58% when starting pitcher had ERA under 2.80 in 2025

Record

82-59

Win Rate

58.2%

n=141 games2025 season (final)
⚾ MLBML📉 Slight Edge

Road favorites under -130 were 189-162 ML in 2025 — profitable long term

Record

189-162

Win Rate

53.8%

n=351 games2025 season (final)
⚾ MLBML📊 Moderate Edge

Pitchers making first start after 10+ days rest had ERA avg 0.8 higher in 2025

Record

38-48

Win Rate

44.2%

n=86 games2025 season (final)

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